Author Archives: Julian Fry

The Risk Professionals’ Library – Part 3

The post outlines essential reads for driving change effectively, including “Smart Brevity” for concise messaging, “Factfulness” for objective data analysis, and Edward Tufte’s work on visual information display. It emphasizes the importance of understanding habits and minimizing distractions to foster change, while recognizing timeless strategies from older texts.

How Excel’s StockHistory Transformed My Personal Investment Analysis

I recently learned about an excel feature called StockHistory. It has transformed my analysis, and in doing so, reminded me of the importance of long term thinking. Market risk can be a scary business – especially when considering your own investments. Are we being objective in our decisions? Sometimes its better not to track marketContinueContinue reading “How Excel’s StockHistory Transformed My Personal Investment Analysis”

The Risk Professionals’ Library – Part 2

The post highlights several influential books focusing on business success and effective management strategies. Key titles include “Money Ball,” emphasizing data-driven decision-making, “Netflix,” promoting competitive innovation, and “Zero to One,” advocating for selective investments. Other notable mentions are “Snowball,” “Rebooting AI,” and “Smarter Faster Better,” showcasing habits of successful individuals and organizational productivity.

The Risk Professionals’ Library – Part 1

The content emphasizes the importance of learning from past financial crises and failures, such as Enron and the Dot.com collapse. It highlights key risks, particularly leverage and the detachment from fundamentals, while referencing influential books and films that illustrate these lessons. Ultimately, it urges readers to reflect on their resources and awareness of potential risks.

Classic Risk Failures: Hubris & the Titan Submarine

One of the recurring themes in catastrophic risk failures is HUBRIS. The story of OceanGate and the Titan submarine is a timely reminder of this risk. Let’s look at the definition and some red flags! Hubris is excessive pride, arrogance, or self-confidence, often leading to defiance of moral or natural limits, resulting in downfall orContinueContinue reading “Classic Risk Failures: Hubris & the Titan Submarine”

Portugal; Australia and New Zealand lead current COVID fatality rates

Portugal, New Zealand and Australia are currently leading the per capita rates of fatalities which poses an interesting question – how are these countries addressing this? Thankfully it looks as though Portugal is bending the curve on cases and fatalities. The last 6 months have each seen over 500 deaths per month in Portugal -ContinueContinue reading “Portugal; Australia and New Zealand lead current COVID fatality rates”

Why is Portugal leading the world in average daily fatalities?

This one is puzzling. After following most of the world in seeing reductions post Omicron, the fatality rate in Portugal is increasing. The currently level is 2.8 fatalities per million of population per day. The CDC has a warning on Portugal here According to Reuters – Portugal has administered almost 24 million doses of vaccineContinueContinue reading “Why is Portugal leading the world in average daily fatalities?”