Florida spikes, and reaches a level of cases not seen in any other state other than NY.
Monthly Archives: June 2020
The award for most contagious goes to…
Starting with an assumption that all cases in the last 2 weeks are contagious – we get these startling stats on which states have the most contagious populations. We hope this population (after all they have been tested postive), are self isolating – but there is also an unknown population of untested, asymptomatic people. AnyhowContinue reading “The award for most contagious goes to…”
Complacency Kills: Eye off the Prize
Although the US has the highest number of COVID deaths there are often some very uneven comparisons. Like comparing the US to Spain, or Italy. The fact is the US is 5 times bigger than those countries so we would expect our numbers to be higher. We can make a more even comparison by comparingContinue reading “Complacency Kills: Eye off the Prize”
Worst COVID Counties
By now we know that to get the best view of the COVID data we have to identify the specific locations that are creating the excess number of cases that together are keeping the overall US case count too high. This post focuses on the 35 worst counties in America – those with populations ofContinue reading “Worst COVID Counties”
Analyzing Arizona – Poverty may be the key
All eyes seem to be on Arizona these days as this state has the highest rate of new cases per capita in the country at 222 per million per day. Taking a deeper dive, the counties with extremely high fatality rates (practically off the charts) are Santa Cruz, Navajo and Yuma – with respectively 22,Continue reading “Analyzing Arizona – Poverty may be the key”
South leads the way in cases, but the North leads the way in fatalities… for now
The short term prediction for COVID fatalities, across the South, is not good.
Brazil (and Mexico)- can we rely on the data?
The data from Brazil and Mexico is inconsistent with global trends on COVID progression. Either they are really good – or the data can’t be relied on.
Declining Fatality Rate in the US, but cases are not falling fast enough
I had an intuition, or rather expectation, that as the COVID crisis continues, the fatality levels would fall. The drivers behind my reasoning were as follows: Medical care would get better through the learning curve. Examples of this include reports of not putting people on ventilators immediately when oxygen levels are low – but monitoringContinue reading “Declining Fatality Rate in the US, but cases are not falling fast enough”
US COVID Hotspots Today
Here’s the latest data showing the rate of new case creation in the US today by state. The good news – NY is less than half the level of some of the worst states for current case creation. The US total is currently 64 new cases per day, per million people. Fatalities are 2.6 perContinue reading “US COVID Hotspots Today”
Why you need DRIVE to be successful in Risk Management
Determination: Be prepared to make tough decisions including those that constrain business activity. Data Driven: Transparency is the key to identifying risks and avoiding the bias that can come with gut feel. Resourceful: be creative in how you use your time and resources to focus on analysis and decisions that have the most impact. Respected: Cultivate respect by being measured inContinue reading “Why you need DRIVE to be successful in Risk Management”