At this point, what has Arizona got to lose? Its really hard to see what's happening in the USA - and in particular states like Arizona. As widely reported - Arizona has been shooting up the league table for new cases of Covid - since early June. By the end of June, also the endContinue reading "Arizona cases & deaths surge….. and says no to contact tracing app from Apple & Google"

Starting with an assumption that all cases in the last 2 weeks are contagious - we get these startling stats on which states have the most contagious populations. We hope this population (after all they have been tested postive), are self isolating - but there is also an unknown population of untested, asymptomatic people. AnyhowContinue reading "The award for most contagious goes to…"

Although the US has the highest number of COVID deaths there are often some very uneven comparisons. Like comparing the US to Spain, or Italy. The fact is the US is 5 times bigger than those countries so we would expect our numbers to be higher. We can make a more even comparison by comparingContinue reading "Complacency Kills: Eye off the Prize"

By now we know that to get the best view of the COVID data we have to identify the specific locations that are creating the excess number of cases that together are keeping the overall US case count too high. This post focuses on the 35 worst counties in America - those with populations ofContinue reading "Worst COVID Counties"

The short term prediction for COVID fatalities, across the South, is not good.

I had an intuition, or rather expectation, that as the COVID crisis continues, the fatality levels would fall. The drivers behind my reasoning were as follows: Medical care would get better through the learning curve. Examples of this include reports of not putting people on ventilators immediately when oxygen levels are low - but monitoringContinue reading "Declining Fatality Rate in the US, but cases are not falling fast enough"

Here's the latest data showing the rate of new case creation in the US today by state. The good news - NY is less than half the level of some of the worst states for current case creation. The US total is currently 64 new cases per day, per million people. Fatalities are 2.6 perContinue reading "US COVID Hotspots Today"