We just arrived at Destin for a few days. Went to get a takeout pizza from local restaurant. I was completely shocked by the scene I saw. It’s as though COVID does not exist. The restaurant has outdoor seating in a large tent – at which tables are packed back to back. When I wentContinue reading “Destin …. no need for social distancing here …. it’s 2019 again”
Monthly Archives: July 2020
Great analysis from NY Times
Found this in The NY Times – great analysis showing the disparity of COVID cases by region in the US. For sure we have to eventually emerge from this with a much better playbook than we had for this one. You can just look at this curve and see how many cases could have beenContinue reading “Great analysis from NY Times”
In search of good news, Florida may have peaked… but hospital burden will continue for some time
Some good news. Florida may have bent the curve. Arizona cases continue to improve.
Worst Counties in America – Florida & Texas Lead the Way; Arizona improves (for now)
Miami leads the country as the county with the highest case creation (counties over 100,000 population). Texas has worryingly high fatality levels. Arizona improves – but student return will be another potential super spreader.
Memphis & Nashville need action now
MEMPHIS AND NASHVILLE need some radical action if we are to return to school in 28 days time. SHUT the BARS down!
Fatality Rate Is Not Significantly Improving
I thought fatality rates were falling – but it turns out they are not really. Plus the recent continued surge is a headwind to overcome.
Complacency and Hubris are behind some of the biggest failures in Risk Management – and the US spike in COVID cases
Hubris: Excessive Pride or Self-Confidence Complacency: A feeling of smug or uncritical satisfaction with onself or one’s achievements We are in a very worrying phase of COVID in the US. It seems that the only states successfully controlling COVID cases are those that were in the first wave and suffered catastrophic losses. The graphic belowContinue reading “Complacency and Hubris are behind some of the biggest failures in Risk Management – and the US spike in COVID cases”
Arizona finally bends the curve
Arizona finally bends the curve for new covid cases, but leads the nation in fatalities on a per capita basis. There’s a potential for total COVID death numbers to double in the next month.
With average daily fatalities at a record high, unfortunately – fatalities will get worse over the next month. Still no sign of bending the curve here. # of contagious people are 6x greater than the prior peak. Lets look at case load and contagious people – based on confirmed COVID case data. Back in AprilContinue reading “Miami”
Best Large Counties in America
Time to look on the bright side. Which large counties are doing well today? Approximately 190 of them.