Julian Fry

The US Big Picture: Over 1.2m Coping / Contagious today

With the record number of COVID cases being diagnosed this means the active ‘caseload’ has never been higher. Fatalities are on the rise – but the path is already set to be much worse for the next month.

Arizona Fatalities Rise … As predicted

Recall my June 18th post predicting Arizona deaths would rise to possibly 7 fatalities per million per day. Well Arizona is exceeding that with 8.4 fatalities per million per day. Arizona daily cases peaked on June 30th – so there is hope that fatalities will start to fall again – perhaps in a month. TheContinueContinue reading “Arizona Fatalities Rise … As predicted”

Caseload in Pictures

COVID in the US is much higher than before – and is not getting better.

Caseload Comparisons

I’ve been thinking about caseload recently. That is – how many people TODAY are either contagious with COVID or coping with COVID – and how that number compares to what we like to optimistically think of as the peak back in April when the tristate area was overwhelmed with cases. As we know we areContinueContinue reading “Caseload Comparisons”

Most contagious places in the US!

The more I dig into it – the ‘self made’ siutation is Arizona is truly shocking. Here’s a look at the level of ‘contagious’ population – and the impact on hospital capacity.

Global Comparison

US has more in common with Brazil than with Europe on its COVID stats. That’s not good at all.

States setting new fatality records so far in July

So much for the hot weather preventing covid. That theory has been fully disproven. Here are the states setting new records for COVID average deaths per day in July. StateMax Daily Av DeathsDateFPMTennessee227/9/201.88Florida1207/9/202.58Texas1197/8/202.37Arizona1017/7/205.72Mississippi447/7/205.36 FPM stands for fatalities per million of population based off these new numbers. Cumulatively these numbers are still a long way ofContinueContinue reading “States setting new fatality records so far in July”

Memorial Day Madness – the point of US divergence

I think it can all be traced back to Memorial Day. Prior to that time – the US was enjoying a declining trend in cases and fatalities. It wasn’t moving as quickly as some of the European countries – but it did not experience the same peak wave that affected those countries. Now, those EuropeanContinueContinue reading “Memorial Day Madness – the point of US divergence”

Worst Large Counties 7-9-2020

The list of large counties (>100,000 population) which high levels of new cases diagnosed (>200 per million per day) continues to grow. 157 counties now meet those criteria. Since that list is too large to present easily on this website – here’s a link to the documents in pdf and excel. worst large counties 7-9-2020ContinueContinue reading “Worst Large Counties 7-9-2020”

Worst Counties in America 7-5-2020

Here is the list of worst counties based on new cases per million. The criteria is all counties with population greater than 100,000 people. In the list below – all counties have over 400 new cases per day, per million of population. Arizona is not relinquishing it’s spot as the new COVID epicenter of theContinueContinue reading “Worst Counties in America 7-5-2020”