Julian Fry

Arizona finally bends the curve

Arizona finally bends the curve for new covid cases, but leads the nation in fatalities on a per capita basis. There’s a potential for total COVID death numbers to double in the next month.

Miami

With average daily fatalities at a record high, unfortunately – fatalities will get worse over the next month. Still no sign of bending the curve here. # of contagious people are 6x greater than the prior peak. Lets look at case load and contagious people – based on confirmed COVID case data. Back in AprilContinue reading “Miami”

Best Large Counties in America

Time to look on the bright side. Which large counties are doing well today? Approximately 190 of them.

Davidson County, Tennessee

Davidson County is one of the worst counties in America for COVID growth. The data is 53x the level that caused the first lockdown.

The ever increasing WORST LARGE COUNTIES in America list

More and more counties are hitting my ‘WORST COUNTIES in AMERICA’ list. Take a look.

The US Big Picture: Over 1.2m Coping / Contagious today

With the record number of COVID cases being diagnosed this means the active ‘caseload’ has never been higher. Fatalities are on the rise – but the path is already set to be much worse for the next month.

Arizona Fatalities Rise … As predicted

Recall my June 18th post predicting Arizona deaths would rise to possibly 7 fatalities per million per day. Well Arizona is exceeding that with 8.4 fatalities per million per day. Arizona daily cases peaked on June 30th – so there is hope that fatalities will start to fall again – perhaps in a month. TheContinue reading “Arizona Fatalities Rise … As predicted”

Caseload in Pictures

COVID in the US is much higher than before – and is not getting better.

Caseload Comparisons

I’ve been thinking about caseload recently. That is – how many people TODAY are either contagious with COVID or coping with COVID – and how that number compares to what we like to optimistically think of as the peak back in April when the tristate area was overwhelmed with cases. As we know we areContinue reading “Caseload Comparisons”

Most contagious places in the US!

The more I dig into it – the ‘self made’ siutation is Arizona is truly shocking. Here’s a look at the level of ‘contagious’ population – and the impact on hospital capacity.